Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.446417 0.523645 0.608216 0.707430 0.820348 0.944572 1.091277
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.323916 0.425811 0.548343 0.705336 0.899806 1.131368 1.426387
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.236703 0.344373 0.484913 0.679056 0.937115 1.264827 1.708350
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.194285 0.308247 0.467640 0.701923 1.031590 1.472143 2.097125
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.161896 0.277912 0.450557 0.718583 1.114794 1.667800 2.483989
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143750 0.264406 0.453871 0.762051 1.236889 1.923961 2.971459
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.119677 0.236216 0.429425 0.758627 1.286907 2.078504 3.323557
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.099252 0.209880 0.403170 0.747393 1.321300 2.209662 3.647562
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.083444 0.188539 0.381556 0.739842 1.358724 2.345657 3.985283
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.073590 0.176563 0.374337 0.755181 1.433741 2.544160 4.430785
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064583 0.164439 0.364822 0.764656 1.498541 2.729339 4.865233
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056140 0.151749 0.352176 0.766352 1.548913 2.892880 5.273085
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049553 0.142135 0.344730 0.777876 1.619425 3.097832 5.767145
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042973 0.131125 0.332761 0.779081 1.671004 3.273914 6.224192
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035306 0.115519 0.308295 0.751658 1.665349 3.348290 6.510613
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032266 0.111448 0.309101 0.777078 1.764062 3.615698 7.148818
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029151 0.106419 0.306850 0.795437 1.849885 3.864345 7.766651
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027913 0.106628 0.317274 0.842948 1.998486 4.238155 8.628860
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024287 0.098588 0.305833 0.839234 2.040283 4.412223 9.134665
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020804 0.090016 0.291551 0.826982 2.062499 4.549280 9.578069
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017975 0.082805 0.279631 0.818743 2.092139 4.701662 10.056665
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016360 0.079476 0.277936 0.835486 2.178060 4.970250 10.769231
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.014717 0.075562 0.273922 0.845827 2.250182 5.214729 11.446419